TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Fresno State Bulldogs and Wyoming Cowboys scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total points thresholds, and point spread outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents 12 redundant total-points thresholds as separate Yes/No markets without explicit No conditions or hierarchy, while Polymarket offers standard O/U markets with clear point thresholds. The Kalshi structure creates ambiguity about whether each threshold is an independent contract or part of a ladder, and lacks clarity on how a final score resolves across multiple thresholds.Hero Tip:
Prioritize Polymarket O/U markets for settlement due to explicit threshold-to-outcome logic. For Kalshi, request clarification on whether the 12 markets are independent or hierarchical. When the final score is released, verify it against all Kalshi thresholds; if multiple resolve to Yes, treat each as a separate contract outcome. Monitor for platform-specific settlement disputes if the final combined score falls between any two Kalshi thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline (Fresno State vs Wyoming), three spread markets (Wyoming -8.5, -9.5, -10.5), and four O/U markets (148.5, 147.5, 146.5, 145.5). Each O/U resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds the stated threshold plus 0.5 (e.g., O/U 148.5 = Over at 149+). All markets include postponement and cancellation (50-50) clauses. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Fresno State Bulldogs and Wyoming Cowboys combine to score 149 or more points.'Kalshi:
12 separate Yes/No markets, each with a single condition: 'If Fresno St. and Wyoming collectively score over [threshold] total points... then the market resolves to Yes.' Thresholds range from 130.5 to 163.5 in increments of 3-4 points. No explicit No condition, cancellation clause, or clarification on whether these are independent contracts or a single ladder structure. Key Quote: 'If Fresno St. and Wyoming collectively score over 163.5 total points in the Fresno St. at Wyoming men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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