TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Eredivisie soccer match between Fortuna Sittard and Telstar 1963 scheduled for March 8, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being tracked across prediction markets: a Sittard win, a draw, or a Telstar win, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves "Yes" if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's tie market does not address cancellation explicitly. This creates conflicting settlement logic for the same underlying outcome.Hero Tip:
Before March 8, 2026, confirm with both platforms their exact cancellation protocol. Polymarket's draw-on-cancellation rule is non-standard and creates a hedge opportunity if you believe cancellation risk is material. Kalshi traders should assume cancellation voids the tie market or resolves to "No" unless officially clarified.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Sittard win, Draw, Telstar win). Draw market explicitly resolves "Yes" if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets resolve "No" on cancellation. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three outcome markets (Sittard, Tie, Telstar) that collectively cover all possibilities. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Standard sports market assumption: cancellation either voids the market or resolves to "No". Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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