TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)

Volume:
$124,617

Florida St.

 - Kalshi

Florida St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 2, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,693
N/A
N/A
$34,804
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Florida State Seminoles vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wake Forest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,589
N/A
N/A
$38,631
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Florida State Seminoles and Wake Forest Demon Deacons scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket resolve based on which team wins the game, while Kalshi's market structure creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve to Yes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wake Forest win OR Florida State win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade this market on Kalshi—the resolution logic guarantees the market resolves to Yes no matter which team wins, eliminating any predictive value. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Florida State Seminoles' if FSU wins, or 'Wake Forest Demon Deacons' if Wake Forest wins. Includes contingencies for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Source: NCAA official final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes mapping. States 'If Wake Forest wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Florida St. wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, creating logical impossibility and market failure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.