TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Florida State Seminoles and Wake Forest Demon Deacons scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket resolve based on which team wins the game, while Kalshi's market structure creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve to Yes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wake Forest win OR Florida State win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade this market on Kalshi—the resolution logic guarantees the market resolves to Yes no matter which team wins, eliminating any predictive value. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Florida State Seminoles' if FSU wins, or 'Wake Forest Demon Deacons' if Wake Forest wins. Includes contingencies for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Source: NCAA official final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes mapping. States 'If Wake Forest wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Florida St. wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, creating logical impossibility and market failure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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