TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Florida State Seminoles and Pittsburgh Panthers scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals at 143.5, 144.5, and 145.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (FSU win and Pitt win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline for this matchup. Polymarket moneyline, all spread markets (-1.5, -2.5), and all total markets (143.5, 144.5, 145.5) are logically consistent and safe to trade. All platforms agree on postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline logic is broken: 'If Florida St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Pittsburgh wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same result, violating binary market principles. Quote: 'If Florida St. wins the Florida St. at Pittsburgh men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline logic is correct: FSU win resolves to 'Florida State Seminoles', Pitt win resolves to 'Pittsburgh Panthers'. Spread and total markets also follow standard threshold logic. Quote: 'If the Florida State Seminoles win, the market will resolve to Florida State Seminoles. If the Pittsburgh Panthers win, the market will resolve to Pittsburgh Panthers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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