TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Florida State Seminoles vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
kalshi
polymarket

Florida State Seminoles vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Volume:
$1,463,621

Florida St.

 - Kalshi

Florida St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$824,448
N/A
N/A
$435,314
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Florida State Seminoles vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$618,852
N/A
N/A
$347,991
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 143.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 144.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Florida State Seminoles and Pittsburgh Panthers scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals at 143.5, 144.5, and 145.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (FSU win and Pitt win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline for this matchup. Polymarket moneyline, all spread markets (-1.5, -2.5), and all total markets (143.5, 144.5, 145.5) are logically consistent and safe to trade. All platforms agree on postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline logic is broken: 'If Florida St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Pittsburgh wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same result, violating binary market principles. Quote: 'If Florida St. wins the Florida St. at Pittsburgh men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline logic is correct: FSU win resolves to 'Florida State Seminoles', Pitt win resolves to 'Pittsburgh Panthers'. Spread and total markets also follow standard threshold logic. Quote: 'If the Florida State Seminoles win, the market will resolve to Florida State Seminoles. If the Pittsburgh Panthers win, the market will resolve to Pittsburgh Panthers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.