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Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats
kalshi
polymarket

Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Volume:
$1,196,674

Florida wins by over 5.5 Points

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida wins by over 5.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$585,316
N/A
N/A
$442,075
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida wins by over 4.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,374
N/A
N/A
$40,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,350
N/A
N/A
$12,264
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida wins by over 1.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,294
N/A
N/A
$3,175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida wins by over 16.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,874
N/A
N/A
$78,906
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 8.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,151
N/A
N/A
$51,373
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 10.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,565
N/A
N/A
$52,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 13.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,622
N/A
N/A
$32,972
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 7.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,376
N/A
N/A
$32,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 22.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,445
N/A
N/A
$27,311
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 19.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,543
N/A
N/A
$20,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 1.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,880
N/A
N/A
$11,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 10.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,372
N/A
N/A
$5,994
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 4.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,586
N/A
N/A
$4,453
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 7.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,414
N/A
N/A
$4,077
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 8.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,639
N/A
N/A
$2,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 13.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
$2,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 5.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$1,312
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 2.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,230
N/A
N/A
$1,190
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 19.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 22.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Kentucky wins by over 16.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
polymarket

Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers the Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats men's college basketball game scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting at multiple thresholds, and over/under total points, with resolution based on final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi employs a granular binary (Yes/No) threshold-based spread model with 22 distinct markets, while Polymarket uses discrete binary spread markets at -6.5 and -5.5 for Florida. This creates different settlement triggers for identical game outcomes, particularly in the 1.5 to 8.5 point margin range.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket spread markets as separate instruments. A Florida win by 6 points triggers Yes on Kalshi's >5.5 market but resolves to Kentucky Wildcats on Polymarket's -6.5 spread. Cross-platform arbitrage is possible if odds diverge; focus on the moneyline (winner) for unified resolution across both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 22 binary markets covering Kentucky wins by >1.5 to >22.5 points and Florida wins by >1.5 to >22.5 points. Each threshold is a separate Yes/No market. Example: 'If Kentucky wins by more than 16.5 points in the Florida at Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Discrete spread markets at Florida -6.5 (resolves Florida if win by 7+, else Kentucky) and Florida -5.5 (resolves Florida if win by 6+, else Kentucky). Also moneyline (Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats winner) and over/under totals at 160.5, 161.5, 162.5. Example: 'This market will resolve to Florida Gators if the Florida Gators win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Kentucky Wildcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.