TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FC Universitario will face Club ABB on April 21, 2026, in a Bolivian football match. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Universitario win, an ABB win, or a draw. All resolution criteria focus on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. All three outcomes (Universitario win, ABB win, Tie) are listed as separate YES resolution conditions, meaning the market resolves YES regardless of the match result. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Universitario win, Draw, ABB win) are the only coherent way to express the full outcome space for this match.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Market 1 resolves YES only if Universitario wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if match ends in draw; Market 3 resolves YES only if ABB wins. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source is official LFPB statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Markets 1 and 3 to NO, and Market 2 to YES.Kalshi:
Market structure lists three conditions: 'If Universitario wins...resolves to Yes', 'If ABB wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, rendering it unresolvable and unhedgeable. No cancellation or postponement rules are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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