TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between FC Schalke 04 and Hannover 96 scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: Schalke win, draw, and Hannover win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that conflicts with the logical structure of three mutually exclusive outcome markets. Kalshi's catch-all market lacks explicit cancellation guidance, creating potential ambiguity in edge-case resolution.Hero Tip:
Focus on the primary resolution path: official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion. For cancellation scenarios, Polymarket traders should assume the draw market is the intended safety valve (resolves YES on cancellation), while Kalshi traders should seek clarification on whether the catch-all market treats cancellation as a non-event or as a tie.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Schalke win, Draw, Hannover win). Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up game, while both win markets resolve NO under the same condition. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).Kalshi:
Single catch-all market with three resolution conditions: 'If Hannover wins... then Yes', 'If Tie wins... then Yes', 'If Schalke wins... then Yes'. No explicit cancellation clause provided; ambiguous whether all three conditions can resolve simultaneously or if cancellation is treated as a non-event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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