TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale
kalshi
polymarket

FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale

Volume:
$611,434

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 28, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135,615
N/A
N/A
$73,000
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Machida Z

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192,316
N/A
N/A
$101,115
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Machida Zelvia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Frontale

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,712
N/A
N/A
$83,112
Settled
No
polymarket

Kawasaki Frontale

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between FC Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Tie, Frontale win, or Machida Z win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Machida Z win, Frontale win, Draw) where exactly one resolves YES. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of match outcome, rendering it meaningless. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes with consistent resolution logic tied to official J-League statistics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct structure): Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Machida Z win, Frontale win, Draw) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive. Each resolves YES or NO based on the actual match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official J-League statistics as primary source and credible reporting as fallback within 2 hours. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If FC Machida Zelvia wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (logically broken): Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO markets but defines all three resolution conditions identically: 'If [outcome X] wins... then the market resolves to Yes' for Tie, Frontale, AND Machida Z. This means all three markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the actual match result, violating basic logical consistency. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Frontale wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Machida Z wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.