TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between FC Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Tie, Frontale win, or Machida Z win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Machida Z win, Frontale win, Draw) where exactly one resolves YES. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of match outcome, rendering it meaningless. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes with consistent resolution logic tied to official J-League statistics.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (correct structure): Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Machida Z win, Frontale win, Draw) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive. Each resolves YES or NO based on the actual match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official J-League statistics as primary source and credible reporting as fallback within 2 hours. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If FC Machida Zelvia wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier (logically broken): Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO markets but defines all three resolution conditions identically: 'If [outcome X] wins... then the market resolves to Yes' for Tie, Frontale, AND Machida Z. This means all three markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the actual match result, violating basic logical consistency. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Frontale wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Machida Z wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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