TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the FC Lorient vs. OGC Nice Coupe de France soccer match scheduled for March 4, 2026. The group includes markets on whether Nice wins, Lorient wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Nice win, Lorient win, Tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with consistent, mutually exclusive logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until clarification is provided. The resolution logic as written is impossible—only one outcome can occur per match, but all three are mapped to Yes. Polymarket's approach (three separate binary markets) is logically sound and resolvable. Prioritize Polymarket for settlement confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market states: If Nice wins, resolve Yes. If Lorient wins, resolve Yes. If Tie, resolve Yes. All three mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No guidance on cancellation or postponement.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw Yes/No—resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise; (2) Nice wins Yes/No—resolves Yes if Nice wins, No otherwise; (3) Lorient wins Yes/No—resolves Yes if Lorient wins, No otherwise. Explicit rules: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to Yes and win markets to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.