TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Eredivisie soccer match between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three binary markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: Ajax win, Groningen win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms resolve on the same match outcome (Ajax win, Groningen win, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Eredivisie match records (eredivisie.nl) and final scoreline after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage timeCore resolution logic:
- If AFC Ajax scores more goals than FC Groningen after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, Ajax win market resolves Yes and Groningen win market resolves No
- If FC Groningen scores more goals than AFC Ajax after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, Groningen win market resolves Yes and Ajax win market resolves No
- If both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
- Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, draw market resolves Yes (Polymarket) and win markets resolve No (Polymarket); Kalshi does not specify but standard practice applies
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed; no early resolution occurs
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No. Kalshi: no explicit clause; standard market cancellation procedures apply
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 7, 2026, based on the official final scoreline after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage timeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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