TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of an MLS soccer match between FC Dallas and Toronto FC scheduled for February 21, 2026, resolved on the basis of the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The group includes three related markets: one on Kalshi covering all possible outcomes (win/tie/loss), and three on Polymarket covering individual outcome possibilities (Dallas win, Toronto win, draw).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Dallas and Toronto win markets resolve No on cancellation. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates asymmetric payoff profiles across platforms for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
If trading the draw outcome, note that Polymarket's draw market is the only one that pays out if the game is canceled entirely. Dallas and Toronto win markets on Polymarket both resolve No in that scenario. Kalshi's structure does not address cancellation explicitly, creating ambiguity. Recommend monitoring official MLS communications and requesting clarification from Kalshi if postponement occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets. Dallas win and Toronto win resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. All three refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.Kalshi:
Three markets structured as outcomes of a single event: all resolve to Yes if their respective outcome occurs (Toronto win, Tie, or Dallas win). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicitly assumes game will be completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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