TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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FC Dallas vs. St. Louis City SC
kalshi
polymarket

FC Dallas vs. St. Louis City SC

Volume:
$485,594

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,080
N/A
N/A
$25,654
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Dallas vs. St. Louis City SC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,506
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Dallas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,435
N/A
N/A
$84,968
Settled
No
kalshi

Saint Louis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,537
N/A
N/A
$32,533
Settled
No
polymarket

St. Louis City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between FC Dallas and St. Louis City SC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Dallas win, St. Louis win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single definitive resolution. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where each outcome resolves independently and consistently.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the markets unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Dallas win, St. Louis win, draw) follow standard prediction market logic and are resolvable. Trade only on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three resolution rules each state that different outcomes (Dallas win, St. Louis win, tie) all resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction where every possible match result triggers Yes. This violates basic market logic and makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Dallas wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Louis wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive outcomes. The Dallas win market resolves Yes only if Dallas wins, No otherwise. The draw market resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw, No otherwise. The St. Louis win market resolves Yes only if St. Louis wins, No otherwise. Key quote: 'If FC Dallas wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.