TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between FC Dallas and St. Louis City SC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Dallas win, St. Louis win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single definitive resolution. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where each outcome resolves independently and consistently.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw where every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the markets unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Dallas win, St. Louis win, draw) follow standard prediction market logic and are resolvable. Trade only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's three resolution rules each state that different outcomes (Dallas win, St. Louis win, tie) all resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction where every possible match result triggers Yes. This violates basic market logic and makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Dallas wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Louis wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive outcomes. The Dallas win market resolves Yes only if Dallas wins, No otherwise. The draw market resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw, No otherwise. The St. Louis win market resolves Yes only if St. Louis wins, No otherwise. Key quote: 'If FC Dallas wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.