TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between FC Dallas and Los Angeles Galaxy.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (mlssoccer.com); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- The three Polymarket markets (LA Galaxy win, FC Dallas win, draw) are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: exactly one will resolve YES based on the final 90-minute result.
- The three Kalshi markets (LA Galaxy win, FC Dallas win, tie) are also mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: exactly one will resolve YES based on the final 90-minute result.
- All markets resolve based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets would not resolve under this scenario as the event would not occur.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the outcome of the completed match.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: On Polymarket, if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario in the provided rules.
- Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official MLS statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution basis on both platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by MLS or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match conclusion, based on the 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome only.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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