TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FC Cincinnati vs. Atlanta United FC MLS match scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three related markets track whether Cincinnati wins, Atlanta wins, or the match ends in a draw, plus a fourth market on whether both teams score. All markets reference only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves to Yes on game cancellation, while Polymarket's win markets and Kalshi's both-score market resolve to No or lack explicit cancellation guidance. This creates a logical inconsistency where cancellation produces conflicting outcomes across related markets.Hero Tip:
If trading this event group, be aware that a full game cancellation will trigger Yes on Polymarket's draw market but No on both win markets. This is a rare but material edge case. Diversify your hedge across platforms carefully, or avoid the draw market if you believe cancellation risk is elevated.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Win Markets):
Cincinnati and Atlanta win markets resolve to No if game is canceled with no make-up. Both markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".'Polymarket (Draw Market):
Draw market resolves to Yes if game is canceled with no make-up, creating a direct contradiction with the win markets. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes".'Kalshi (Both Score Market):
Resolves Yes if both teams score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause; resolution logic is outcome-dependent only. Key Quote: 'If Atlanta and Cincinnati both score goals in the Atlanta at Cincinnati MLS match originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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