TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid La Liga match scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess whether Barcelona wins, Vallecano wins, or the match ends in a draw after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents a single market that resolves Yes for any halftime outcome (win/loss/draw), while Polymarket presents three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes or No based on a specific outcome. The market structures are incompatible despite covering the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
These are not equivalent markets. Kalshi's market confirms the match occurred and had a halftime result (always Yes unless cancelled). Polymarket's markets are outcome-specific bets. Treat them as separate products and do not assume correlation or hedging relationships between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Single omnibus market resolves Yes for any halftime outcome (Barcelona win, Vallecano win, or draw). All three conditions lead to Yes resolution. This is a match-completion confirmation market, not an outcome predictor.Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Barcelona leading (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Vallecano leading (Yes/No). Each resolves based on the specific halftime scoreline. Exactly one market resolves Yes; the other two resolve No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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