TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Fairfield Stags and Notre Dame Fighting Irish on March 21 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Fairfield wins OR Notre Dame wins) resolve to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution (Fairfield Stags vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish) with clear handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market for this event—it contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible game outcome triggers YES resolution, making the market unresolvable and potentially subject to dispute or cancellation. Polymarket's market is the only reliable venue for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market resolves YES if Fairfield wins AND YES if Notre Dame wins, creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution. This violates basic binary market structure and leaves no valid NO outcome. Key quote: 'If Fairfield wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Market resolves to either 'Fairfield Stags' or 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' based on final score, with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Fairfield Stags win, the market will resolve to Fairfield Stags. If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to Notre Dame Fighting Irish.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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