TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Fagiano Okayama and Kyōto Sanga FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Kyōto win, Fagiano win, draw) and Kalshi (three yes/no markets covering all possible outcomes). Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms measure the same event (Fagiano Okayama vs Kyōto Sanga FC on 2026-03-07) over the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), with consistent postponement handling and aligned primary resolution sources.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics (jleague.jp); if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Fagiano Okayama win, Kyōto Sanga FC win, or draw.
- If the match is postponed, both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi's outcome-based structure means no Yes resolution occurs in true cancellation.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is played. No resolution occurs until completion.
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: no market resolves Yes (all three outcome markets would resolve No).
- Official statistics delay: If J-League does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
- Extra time or penalties: If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition), only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result is used for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published (or within 2 hours if consensus reporting is required). Markets remain open if the match is postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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