TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and CA Vélez Sarsfield scheduled for March 2, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves Yes on game cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance and its three mutually-exclusive outcome markets create logical ambiguity if the game is canceled.Hero Tip:
Verify cancellation protocol with both platforms before March 2, 2026. If you hold Polymarket draw positions, you have explicit protection (resolves Yes on cancellation). If you hold Kalshi positions, request clarification on whether a canceled match leaves markets open or triggers a specific resolution. Avoid holding conflicting positions across platforms if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Velez win (Yes/No), Estudiantes win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). All three markets reference the same match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves the draw market to Yes and the win markets to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market) and 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).Kalshi:
Three mutually-exclusive outcome markets structured as: 'If [Outcome] wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' All three markets reference the same match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. The structure implies only one market can resolve Yes (the outcome that occurred), but cancellation handling is undefined. Key quote: 'If Estudiantes La Plata wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Velez Sarsfield wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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