TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and CA Central Córdoba scheduled for March 23, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the match outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-make-up-game scenarios are handled inconsistently between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies different outcomes for draw (Yes) versus win/loss (No) if the game is canceled entirely with no rescheduling.Hero Tip:
Monitor official AFA announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes, but its win/loss markets will resolve No. Kalshi's markets lack explicit cancellation guidance, creating settlement risk. Prioritize Polymarket's resolution logic as the more detailed framework.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its outcome occurs (Central Cordoba win, Estudiantes win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Treats all three outcomes symmetrically as Yes-resolving events.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in draw OR is canceled with no make-up. Win/loss markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Postponed games remain open until completion. Primary source: AFA official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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