TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ismaily SC
polymarket
kalshi

El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ismaily SC

Volume:
$80,769

Al Mokawloon

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 10, 2026

Closed: Apr 9, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Mokawloon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,840
N/A
N/A
$6,981
Settled
Yes
polymarket

El Mokawloon El Arab SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ismaily SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,143
N/A
N/A
$5,344
Settled
No
kalshi

Ismaily

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,599
N/A
N/A
$11,515
Settled
No
polymarket

Ismaily SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

El Mokawloon El Arab SC and Ismaily SC are scheduled to compete on April 9, 2026, in a Egyptian football match. The outcome will be determined by the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: a win for El Mokawloon, a win for Ismaily, or a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic for the draw market. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up game, while Kalshi's draw market (labeled as 'Tie') resolves YES only if the match is actually played and ends in a tie. This creates a logical contradiction: the same cancellation event produces opposite outcomes across platforms.Hero tip: Do not trade the draw market across both platforms simultaneously. If you believe the match will be canceled, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES but Kalshi's does not. If you believe the match will be played and end in a tie, both resolve YES, but the cancellation scenario creates irreconcilable divergence. Treat these as separate, non-hedgeable markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier on draw/cancellation logic: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, but resolves NO if El Mokawloon or Ismaily wins. This creates a three-outcome structure where cancellation = draw resolution. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier on draw/cancellation logic: Kalshi's 'Tie' market resolves YES only if the match is actually played and ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation is not addressed, implying the market remains unresolved or defaults to NO. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Al Mokawloon vs Ismaily professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.