TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary faces ZED FC in an Egyptian Premier League match scheduled for April 14, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Both platforms align on this core event definition, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi have fundamentally incompatible resolution structures. Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (El Ittihad win, Draw, ZED win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO outcomes that can all resolve YES simultaneously, creating logical contradiction and making Kalshi's market unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, buying YES on all three markets is impossible (they are mutually exclusive). On Kalshi, all three markets can resolve YES at once, which violates basic match logic. Clarify with Kalshi whether their three markets are meant to be mutually exclusive or if the resolution criteria contain an error.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (El Ittihad win, Draw, or ZED win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Resolution is based on the official statistics from the Egyptian Football Association (efa.com.eg) or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. The market explicitly covers only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and cancellation without a make-up resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three separate markets, each with its own YES/NO resolution condition: Market 1 resolves YES if Al Ittihad wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Zed wins, and Market 3 resolves YES if Tie occurs. All three markets reference the same match and time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time), but the resolution structure allows all three to resolve YES simultaneously, which is logically impossible for a single match outcome and creates an unresolvable contradiction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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