TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Eintracht Frankfurt and RB Leipzig, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It requires the market to resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (Leipzig win, Draw, Frankfurt win), which violates the fundamental principle that exactly one outcome must occur.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market entirely—it contains a logical impossibility that makes settlement unpredictable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving independently: (1) RB Leipzig leading at halftime resolves YES only if Leipzig leads; (2) Draw at halftime resolves YES only if score is tied; (3) Eintracht Frankfurt leading at halftime resolves YES only if Frankfurt leads. Exactly one will resolve YES. Quote: 'If RB Leipzig wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Single market with three outcome clauses, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction: if Leipzig wins the first half, clause 1 triggers YES; if it's a draw, clause 2 triggers YES; if Frankfurt wins, clause 3 triggers YES. All three clauses cannot simultaneously resolve the same market to YES. Quote: 'If Leipzig is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Frankfurt is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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