TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 professional soccer match between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three mutually-exclusive outcomes as separate binary markets without explicit clarification of how exactly one resolves to Yes. Polymarket uses standard three-way binary structure with clear mutual exclusivity.Hero Tip:
Both platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties, Bundesliga 2 official source. The divergence is in market structure presentation, not underlying resolution logic. For trading purposes, treat both as equivalent three-way outcome markets, but request written confirmation from Kalshi on settlement mechanics.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate markets framed as independent Yes/No resolutions: If Darmstadt wins then Yes, if Tie then Yes, if Braunschweig wins then Yes. Logically only one can occur, creating ambiguity in how all three markets settle simultaneously.Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets with explicit mutual exclusivity: Darmstadt wins (Yes/No), Braunschweig wins (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Clear that exactly one resolves Yes and two resolve No. Cancellation: Darmstadt and Braunschweig markets resolve No if canceled; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.