TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Nürnberg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with identical coverage of all three possible outcomes (Bielefeld win, Nürnberg win, draw) and consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga 2 statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Polymarket Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; if canceled with no make-up game, resolves YES.
- Polymarket Bielefeld Win market resolves YES if Bielefeld wins, NO otherwise; if canceled with no make-up game, resolves NO.
- Polymarket Nürnberg Win market resolves YES if Nürnberg wins, NO otherwise; if canceled with no make-up game, resolves NO.
- Kalshi markets resolve YES for each outcome that occurs: one market for Bielefeld win, one for Nürnberg win, one for draw.
- Exactly one outcome will occur, and exactly one market per platform will resolve YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and the final result is determined.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket Draw market resolves YES and both Polymarket Win markets resolve NO. Kalshi resolution logic does not explicitly address this scenario.
- Resolution Source Timing: Primary source is official Bundesliga 2 statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Bundesliga 2 or governing body, or within 2 hours post-match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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