TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Volume:
$18,295

Natus Vincere

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Natus Vincere

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,550
N/A
N/A
$4,123
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tundra Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,492
N/A
N/A
$3,656
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 69

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. Markets span match winner, game-by-game outcomes, handicaps, and granular in-game statistics (kills, Roshan kills, barracks destruction, rampages, ultra kills, day/night cycle timing, and first blood).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves on PGL Wallachia 2026 tournament winner (either team = Yes), while Polymarket resolves on the specific BO3 match outcome between these two teams. These are fundamentally different events: Kalshi requires the team to win the entire tournament; Polymarket requires only a win in this single match. Additionally, Polymarket explicitly applies 50-50 resolution for forfeits and walkovers, whereas Kalshi's handling of these scenarios is undefined.Hero tip: Kalshi and Polymarket are NOT equivalent markets. Kalshi is a tournament-outcome bet; Polymarket is a match-outcome bet. A team can win the Polymarket match but lose the Kalshi tournament (if eliminated later). Conversely, a team can lose the Polymarket match but still win Kalshi (if they advance and win the tournament). Use Polymarket for direct match trading and Kalshi only if you have conviction on the full tournament outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Tournament-level resolution. Market resolves to Yes if Natus Vincere wins PGL Wallachia 2026 OR if Tundra Esports wins PGL Wallachia 2026. This is a binary outcome on the tournament champion, not the specific March 7 match. Forfeit/walkover handling is not explicitly stated.
  • Polymarket: Match-level resolution. Market resolves to 'Tundra Esports' if Tundra wins the BO3, or 'Natus Vincere' if Natus Vincere wins the BO3. Forfeits, walkovers, and cancellations resolve to 50-50. Match must be completed or explicitly won via opponent forfeit/disqualification for non-50-50 resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.