TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-two Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and GamerLegion in DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B, scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Three markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides detailed, source-backed resolution logic with explicit edge-case handling and a 2-hour fallback window; Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure that conflates all outcomes (win, loss, tie) into Yes without specifying a resolution source or handling forfeiture/tie scenarios.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are more auditable and trader-friendly due to explicit source prioritization (dotabuff.com, then consensus) and clear tie/forfeit rules. Kalshi's binary structure creates ambiguity: clarify with the platform whether ties or pre-match forfeits resolve Yes or No before committing capital. If you trade both, expect Polymarket to resolve first (within 2 hours of match end) and use that as a leading indicator for Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets (match winner, Game 1 winner, Game 2 winner) with explicit resolution sources (dotabuff.com for match, twitch.tv/esl_dota2 for individual games). Match winner resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Forfeits/walkovers before match start resolve 50-50; forfeits during play resolve to the winner. Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if the game is not completed. 2-hour window for official source; credible reporting consensus thereafter. Key Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Single binary market (Yes/No) that resolves Yes if Team Falcons wins, GamerLegion wins, or a Tie occurs. No resolution source is specified. No edge-case logic for forfeiture, cancellation, or tie handling is provided. The structure implies all three outcomes (Falcons win, GamerLegion win, Tie) trigger Yes, but does not clarify how pre-match forfeits or incomplete matches are treated. Key Quote: 'If Team Falcons wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If GamerLegion wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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