TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-two (BO2) Dota 2 match between paiN Gaming and Aurora scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET as part of DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A. Markets track the overall match winner, Game 1 winner, and Game 2 winner, with resolution sourced from official broadcast and stats platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market is vaguely scoped to a tournament outcome with unspecified resolution source, while Polymarket defines three granular markets with explicit sources (DotaBuff and Twitch ESL) and detailed tie/cancellation/forfeit rules that do not align with Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure.Hero Tip:
Before settlement, confirm that all three Polymarket markets (overall, Game 1, Game 2) and Kalshi's match reference the same Feb 17, 2026 event. Monitor DotaBuff and Twitch ESL for timely result publication. If the match is delayed >7 days without play or ends in a pre-match forfeit, Polymarket resolves 50-50 but Kalshi's outcome is unclear—request explicit clarification from Kalshi before the event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No market tied to tournament outcome. Resolves Yes if paiN Gaming or Aurora wins the match scheduled Feb 17, 2026. Resolution source is not specified. Logic does not address cancellations, ties, delays, or forfeits.Polymarket:
Three separate markets: (1) Overall match winner (DotaBuff source), resolves 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay >7 days, or pre-match forfeit; (2) Game 1 winner (Twitch ESL source), resolves 50-50 if not completed or event canceled/delayed >7 days; (3) Game 2 winner (Twitch ESL source), same rules as Game 1. Mid-match forfeit/disqualification = winner declared.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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