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405,232

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A

Volume:
$262,868

Game 2 Winner

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 23, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$115,809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MOUZ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,095
N/A
N/A
$905
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

GamerLegion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,232
N/A
N/A
$3,953
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 81

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between MOUZ and GamerLegion at ESL One Birmingham Group A, scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, barracks, Roshan, ultra kills, rampages), day/night cycle timing, and first blood.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market (Question 20) contains a logical contradiction: it states the market resolves to Yes for MOUZ win, Yes for Tie, and Yes for GamerLegion win, making all outcomes resolve identically. This renders the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets across both platforms use coherent, unified resolution logic.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi match outcome market entirely due to logical incoherence. All game-level markets (Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, in-game stats, first blood) are resolvable and unified: DotaBuff primary, 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Cancellation, >7 day delay, forfeit, or incomplete play = 50-50 unless game was completed before stoppage.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market (Q20) states: 'resolves to Yes if MOUZ wins... resolves to Yes if Tie wins... resolves to Yes if GamerLegion wins.' All three mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Match outcome market (Q20) uses standard binary logic: 'resolves to MOUZ if MOUZ win... resolves to GamerLegion if GamerLegion win... resolves to 50-50 if canceled, tie, or delayed >7 days.' Logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.