TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$249,705,498

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,354,509,605

579,516

Markets across

14,317

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,116

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$2,349,866
PredictionHero
Game 2 Winner 100%
polymarket
Match Winner 0%
polymarket
Tundra Esports 100%
kalshi
Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 26, 6:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Chance %
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24h
7d
Open Interest
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Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the ESL One Birmingham Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 26 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve all markets based on official information from DotaBuff, with identical logic for match outcomes, game-specific events, and series completion, differing only in minor wording that does not affect settlement outcomes.

Primary resolution logic:

Official information from https://www.dotabuff.com, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting and video evidence if DotaBuff has not published final results within 2 hours after event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner (Aurora vs Tundra Esports) resolves based on which team wins the best-of-3 series.
  • Individual game winners (Game 1, Game 2, Game 3) resolve based on which team wins that specific game, provided the game is completed.
  • Series length (Games Total O/U 2.5) resolves to Over if 3 or more games are played, Under if fewer than 3 games are played.
  • Game-specific events (Ultra Kill, Rampage, Roshan kills, Barracks destruction, daytime end, First Blood, total kills thresholds) resolve based on whether the condition occurs during that game.
  • Handicap markets resolve based on the margin of victory (2+ game difference) in the series.
  • If the match is canceled, not played at all, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • If a game is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, game-specific markets for that game resolve 50-50.
  • If a game is not played because the series result is already determined (clinching game), game-specific markets for that unplayed game resolve 50-50.
  • If a game begins but is not completed, game-specific markets resolve based on the condition status prior to stoppage; if the condition was not met, markets resolve No or Under accordingly.
  • If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only.
  • Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward series totals and handicap calculations, provided the match is completed.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official publication by DotaBuff within 2 hours after the event's conclusion; if DotaBuff does not publish within 2 hours, resolution is based on consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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