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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Volume:
$5,853

Aurora

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 5:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aurora

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
$1,726
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Falcons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,021
N/A
N/A
$3,011
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
$614
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Falcons at ESL One Birmingham Group B, scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, and granular in-game metrics (kills, Roshan, barracks, rampages, ultras, day/night cycle timing, and first blood).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match-outcome market contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Team Falcons win, Aurora win, Tie) are specified to resolve to Yes if the match is played, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are internally consistent but diverge from Kalshi in scope and edge-case handling.Hero tip: Kalshi's match-outcome market (Items 1-3) is unresolvable due to logical contradiction and should be avoided. For Polymarket markets, note that in-game metrics (kills, Roshan, barracks, rampages, ultras, day/night, first blood) resolve 50-50 if the relevant game is never played or the series is already decided, whereas match/game-winner markets resolve 50-50 only on cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Always verify final results via Dotabuff within 2 hours; credible video evidence is the fallback source.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match-outcome market (Items 1-3) specifies that Yes resolves if Team Falcons wins ESL One Birmingham 2026, AND if Aurora wins, AND if Tie occurs. This is a logical impossibility—only one outcome can occur in a single match. The market is unresolvable as written. Key Quote: 'If Team Falcons wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Aurora wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Match-outcome market (Item 6) and game-winner markets (Items 8, 18) use mutually exclusive binary logic: Aurora or Team Falcons, with 50-50 on cancellation/tie/delay. In-game metric markets (Items 2-5, 7, 10-17, 20-51) resolve 50-50 if the game is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or series already decided. This is internally consistent but differs from Kalshi's scope. Key Quote (Item 6): 'This market will resolve to Aurora if Aurora win the match... This market will resolve to Team Falcons if Team Falcons win... If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days... this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.