TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga soccer match between Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal CF scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (Alavés win, Villarreal win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly implements three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Use Polymarket's three binary markets (Alavés win, Villarreal win, Draw) which are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Resolution source is LaLiga.com official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure is logically impossible. All three outcomes (Alavés win, Villarreal win, Tie) are each defined to resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Alaves wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Villarreal wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Only one outcome can occur, but all three are mapped to Yes resolution.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Alavés win market resolves Yes if Alavés wins, No otherwise. Villarreal market resolves Yes if Villarreal wins, No otherwise. Draw market resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise. Cancellation without makeup resolves to No for win markets and Yes for draw market. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'Yes' (for draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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