TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between DePaul Blue Demons and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5 and -4.5), and total points over/under at two levels (140.5 and 142.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction: both DePaul win and Marquette win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable alternatives across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals). Request Kalshi clarification or correction before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to either 'DePaul Blue Demons' or 'Marquette Golden Eagles' based on final score. Spreads use point differential thresholds (-4.5 requires 5+ point Marquette win, -3.5 requires 4+ point Marquette win). Totals use combined score thresholds (143+ for Over at 142.5, 141+ for Over at 140.5). All markets postpone if game delayed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'If the DePaul Blue Demons win, the market will resolve to DePaul Blue Demons. If the Marquette Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Marquette Golden Eagles.'Kalshi:
Moneyline states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Marquette wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If DePaul wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical tautology where no outcome can resolve to No, making it impossible to differentiate between the two teams and rendering the market unresolvable. Key Quote: 'If Marquette wins the DePaul at Marquette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DePaul wins the DePaul at Marquette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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