TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Denver Pioneers and Oral Roberts Golden Eagles scheduled for February 14, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering markets on which team will win this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Denver win and Oral Roberts win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically incoherent. Use Polymarket exclusively, which correctly resolves to either Denver Pioneers or Oral Roberts Golden Eagles based on final score, with clear postponement and cancellation protocols.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both Denver win and Oral Roberts win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible game outcome produces the same market resolution, rendering the market unresolvable and meaningless as a prediction instrument.Polymarket:
Market resolves to Denver Pioneers if Denver wins, or Oral Roberts Golden Eagles if Oral Roberts wins. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. This is standard binary resolution tied to final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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