TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie B soccer match between Delfino Pescara 1936 and SSC Bari scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (-2.5, -1.5), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and moneyline outcomes. Resolution depends on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market is logically broken: all three possible outcomes (Bari win, Pescara win, tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market non-binary and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are coherent and binary but operate on different scopes (spreads vs moneyline).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market as written. It violates basic prediction market logic. For this event group, use only Polymarket's spread and total markets for settlement. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the moneyline should resolve Yes only for a specific team win, or if this is a template error.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
All markets (spreads, totals, BTTS) resolve based on official final score from legab.it after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Spreads require specific goal differentials (e.g., Pescara (-2.5) resolves YES only if Pescara wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO). Totals resolve YES/NO based on combined goals meeting or exceeding threshold. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legab.it.'Kalshi:
Moneyline market states three conditions, all resolving to Yes: 'If Bari wins... then Yes. If Pescara wins... then Yes. If Tie... then Yes.' This is logically incoherent; no outcome resolves to No. The market is effectively non-binary and cannot function as a prediction market. Key Quote: 'If Bari wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Pescara wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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