This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between Schwenninger Wild Wings and Koelner Haie scheduled for March 25, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both offer binary outcomes based on the final game result, with differing resolution mechanics that create a critical logical inconsistency.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Kolner Haie win and Schwenninger Wild Wings win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses a standard binary outcome model (winner name resolution).
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot settle correctly as written because every possible game outcome resolves to Yes. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi support on whether the second condition should resolve to No. Avoid trading Kalshi until the logic is corrected.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market: resolves to the name of the winning team (Schwenninger Wild Wings or Koelner Haie). Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout goals counted in final score.
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction detected: states 'If Kolner Haie wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Schwenninger Wild Wings wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, violating binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.