TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in Germany's DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between ERC Ingolstadt and EHC Red Bull Munich, scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Ingolstadt win and Munich win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as stated cannot function. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be the reference market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome structure. Ingolstadt victory resolves to ERC Ingolstadt; Munich victory resolves to EHC Red Bull Muenchen. Postponements extend market; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted toward final score.Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic: both Ingolstadt win and Munich win map to Yes resolution, with no specified No outcome. This violates binary market logic and creates an unresolvable state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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