TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) ice hockey match between EHC Red Bull Muenchen and ERC Ingolstadt scheduled for April 2, 2026. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (ERC Ingolstadt win OR Red Bull Munich win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses a sound categorical resolution model with explicit tie-breaker (50-50 on cancellation).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market in its current form—it cannot be settled fairly. The platform must clarify which team's victory triggers Yes vs. No. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be preferred. Confirm game is not already played or canceled by checking penny-del.org/en/del/schedule-and-results.html before entry.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure with both outcomes assigned to Yes. Quote: 'If ERC Ingolstadt wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Red Bull Munich wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a data integrity failure—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution: winner's name is the outcome. Quote: 'If EHC Red Bull Muenchen win, the market will resolve to EHC Red Bull Muenchen. If ERC Ingolstadt win, the market will resolve to ERC Ingolstadt.' Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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