TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional ice hockey match in the German DEL (Deutsche Eishockey Liga) between EHC Red Bull Muenchen and ERC Ingolstadt, scheduled for March 24, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this game, with different resolution structures across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (ERC Ingolstadt wins OR Red Bull Munich wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket uses a standard winner-selection model with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is currently unresolvable due to a documentation or logic error. Before trading, request clarification on whether one outcome should resolve to No, or if this is a categorical market with different mechanics. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard sports resolution conventions.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Winner-selection model with three mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'EHC Red Bull Muenchen' if they win, 'ERC Ingolstadt' if they win, or 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup. Postponements keep market open. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout winner gets +1 goal added).Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: states 'If ERC Ingolstadt wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Red Bull Munich wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No explicit provisions for postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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