TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between D.C. United SC and Philadelphia Union scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of win/loss/draw outcomes measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi's rules do not address cancellation, creating potential settlement ambiguity for that edge case.Hero Tip:
Traders should note that Polymarket's draw market has explicit cancellation coverage (resolves YES), but Kalshi's three markets lack this clarity. If cancellation occurs, expect Polymarket draw to settle YES; Kalshi settlement will require manual intervention. Monitor MLS official schedule for any changes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: DC United win (YES if DC wins, NO otherwise), Philadelphia Union win (YES if Philadelphia wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Explicitly states: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' for win markets, but 'this market will resolve Yes' for the draw market. All outcomes measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three markets structured as: 'If [outcome] wins the DC United vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.' All three markets resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs, but no explicit handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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