TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Davidson Wildcats and Dayton Flyers scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points (139.5), and multiple spread variations (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5 points for Dayton).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Dayton win and Davidson win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent markets are logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form—it cannot be resolved to a single outcome. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all logically consistent and use the same edge-case framework (postponement = market stays open; full cancellation = 50-50 split). Trade with confidence on Polymarket; await Kalshi correction.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both 'If Dayton wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Davidson wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—a binary market cannot have both outcomes resolve to the same value. Data integrity failure.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Davidson Wildcats' if Davidson wins, or 'Dayton Flyers' if Dayton wins. Spread markets (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5) resolve to 'Dayton Flyers' only if Dayton wins by the specified margin or more; otherwise 'Davidson Wildcats'. Over/Under (139.5) resolves to 'Over' if combined score >= 140, else 'Under'. All markets include: postponement = market remains open; full cancellation = 50-50 resolution. Final score includes overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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