TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Davidson Wildcats vs. Dayton Flyers
kalshi
polymarket

Davidson Wildcats vs. Dayton Flyers

Volume:
$3,902,236

Dayton

 - Kalshi

Dayton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dayton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,448,241
$1,766,483
N/A
N/A
$1,181,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Davidson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,445,814
$1,989,876
N/A
N/A
$1,126,097
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,475
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,507
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$438
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Davidson Wildcats vs. Dayton Flyers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,226
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 139.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,233
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Davidson Wildcats and Dayton Flyers scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under total points (139.5), and multiple spread variations (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5 points for Dayton).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Dayton win and Davidson win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent markets are logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form—it cannot be resolved to a single outcome. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all logically consistent and use the same edge-case framework (postponement = market stays open; full cancellation = 50-50 split). Trade with confidence on Polymarket; await Kalshi correction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both 'If Dayton wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Davidson wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—a binary market cannot have both outcomes resolve to the same value. Data integrity failure.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Davidson Wildcats' if Davidson wins, or 'Dayton Flyers' if Dayton wins. Spread markets (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5) resolve to 'Dayton Flyers' only if Dayton wins by the specified margin or more; otherwise 'Davidson Wildcats'. Over/Under (139.5) resolves to 'Over' if combined score >= 140, else 'Under'. All markets include: postponement = market remains open; full cancellation = 50-50 resolution. Final score includes overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.