TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Dartmouth Big Green and Yale Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Yale. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Yale win and Dartmouth win) resolve identically to Yes, rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-predictive. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution with team names as outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken - there is no way to differentiate between the two teams' outcomes. Polymarket's structure is sound and should be the reference market. Flag Kalshi for immediate rule correction.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both Yale win and Dartmouth win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If Yale wins...resolves to Yes. If Dartmouth wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Market resolves to the name of the winning team: either 'Dartmouth Big Green' or 'Yale Bulldogs'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Dartmouth Big Green win, the market will resolve to "Dartmouth Big Green". If the Yale Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Yale Bulldogs".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.