TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC
kalshi
polymarket

Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC

Volume:
$269,004

Dalian Yingbo FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 10, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Dalian Yingbo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dalian Yingbo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,528
N/A
N/A
$32,299
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Zhejiang Zhiye FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zhejiang Prof.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,352
N/A
N/A
$34,723
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,830
N/A
N/A
$14,670
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Dalian Yingbo FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC scheduled for April 10, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the match outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory (all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes), and Polymarket's draw market conflates match outcome with cancellation outcome, creating misaligned incentives in edge cases.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi draw market entirely due to logical incoherence. On Polymarket, be aware that the draw market has dual triggers: it resolves Yes for both an actual draw and for cancellation with no makeup. If you believe cancellation risk is material, the draw market may be mispriced. Monitor official CSL communications for postponement/cancellation signals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure claims all three outcomes (Zhejiang win, Dalian win, Tie) each resolve to Yes independently. This is logically impossible for mutually exclusive events. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' alongside identical Yes resolutions for both team wins.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Zhejiang win, Dalian win, Draw). Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw OR if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve No if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.