TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Dalian Yingbo FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC scheduled for April 10, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the match outcome (win/loss/draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory (all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes), and Polymarket's draw market conflates match outcome with cancellation outcome, creating misaligned incentives in edge cases.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi draw market entirely due to logical incoherence. On Polymarket, be aware that the draw market has dual triggers: it resolves Yes for both an actual draw and for cancellation with no makeup. If you believe cancellation risk is material, the draw market may be mispriced. Monitor official CSL communications for postponement/cancellation signals.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure claims all three outcomes (Zhejiang win, Dalian win, Tie) each resolve to Yes independently. This is logically impossible for mutually exclusive events. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' alongside identical Yes resolutions for both team wins.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Zhejiang win, Dalian win, Draw). Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw OR if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve No if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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