TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Côte d'Ivoire and Korea Republic.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Côte d'Ivoire win, draw, Korea Republic win) that collectively cover all possible outcomes, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves YES for ANY outcome (win, draw, or loss), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a critical logical flaw: all three possible match outcomes (Ivory Coast win, tie, Korea Republic win) trigger a YES resolution, meaning the market cannot distinguish between any scenario and will always resolve YES regardless of the actual result. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only coherent way to express the full outcome space.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the match as three mutually exclusive binary markets—one for each outcome (Côte d'Ivoire win, draw, Korea Republic win)—ensuring exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Resolution is based on official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion, covering only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation without a makeup game resolves the win markets to NO and the draw market to YES.Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with a logical contradiction. The resolution criteria state that the market resolves YES if 'Tie wins', 'Korea Republic wins', or 'Ivory Coast wins'—covering all three possible outcomes. This makes the market always resolve YES regardless of the actual match result, rendering it incapable of expressing any meaningful prediction and fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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