TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Cal State Northridge (CSUN) Matadors and the University of Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, making the market a guaranteed Yes regardless of result. Polymarket uses correct categorical logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution criteria guarantee Yes resolution no matter what happens on the court, indicating a template or specification error. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with sound logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure with logical tautology. Both possible outcomes (Hawai'i wins OR Cal State Northridge wins) are mapped to Yes. This creates a market that cannot resolve to No under any game result. Key Quote: If Hawai'i wins = Yes; If Cal State Northridge wins = Yes.Polymarket:
Categorical outcome structure with three resolution paths: CSUN Matadors (if CSUN wins), Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (if Hawaii wins), or 50-50 split (if game is canceled with no makeup). Postponements keep market open. Key Quote: If CSUN wins = CSUN Matadors; If Hawaii wins = Hawaii Rainbow Warriors; If canceled = 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.