TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Cal State Northridge (CSUN Matadors) and Cal State Bakersfield (Bakersfield Roadrunners) scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variants, and total points over/under.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains logical contradiction (both teams resolve to Yes). Polymarket has multiple threshold mismatches across spread and total markets that create settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline - it is logically unresolvable. For Polymarket, confirm which spread (-8.5 or -7.5) and which total (164.5 or 165.5) you are trading, as the thresholds differ by 1 point and will produce different outcomes near the boundary.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline states: 'If Cal State Northridge wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cal State Bakersfield wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction - both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. No spread or total markets provided.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (mutually exclusive, correct). Spread -8.5 requires 9+ point win; Spread -7.5 requires 8+ point win. Total 164.5 requires 165+ combined points; Total 165.5 requires 166+ combined points. All thresholds differ by exactly 1 point, creating settlement disputes at boundary scores.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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