TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazil Série A match between Cruzeiro EC and CR Vasco da Gama scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin thresholds), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score outcomes, all resolving on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Spread market resolution structure differs between platforms. Polymarket uses explicit binary fallback logic (threshold met = YES, otherwise = NO), while Kalshi presents spread conditions as standalone YES propositions without defined NO conditions.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, all spread markets are fully defined and mutually exclusive. On Kalshi, confirm whether unmet spread thresholds default to NO or require manual resolution. Over/Under and Both Teams to Score markets are unified across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Spread markets (Cruzeiro -2.5, Vasco -2.5, Cruzeiro -1.5, Vasco -1.5) use binary logic with explicit fallback: if the threshold is not met, the market resolves to the opposing team. Quote: 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to [opposing team].' This guarantees every match outcome maps to exactly one resolution.Kalshi:
Spread markets (Vasco +2.5, Cruzeiro +1.5, Vasco +1.5, Cruzeiro +2.5) are structured as independent YES/NO propositions. Quote: 'If [Team] wins by more than [X] goals...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit NO condition or fallback logic is stated for unmet thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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