TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 15, 2026 between Cruzeiro EC and CD Universidad Católica.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Cruzeiro win, draw, Universidad Católica win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent markets that all resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, creating a logical contradiction where multiple Kalshi markets cannot coexist in the same event.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade these markets across platforms. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive). On Kalshi, the market structure implies all three outcomes are independently resolvable, which is impossible for a single match. Clarify with Kalshi whether their three markets are actually a single combined market or if there is a data entry error before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome (Cruzeiro win, draw, or Universidad Católica win) determines which single market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Cruzeiro EC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied identically to all three outcome markets, ensuring exactly one YES).Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three independent markets (Cruzeiro wins, Universidad Católica wins, Tie wins) each with its own resolution condition, implying all three can resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, which is logically impossible for a single match. Key quote: 'If Cruzeiro wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Universidad Catolica wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (three independent YES conditions for mutually exclusive outcomes).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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