TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between STATE and RUSTEC in the CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "STATE" if STATE win the match against RUSTEC. This market will resolve to "RUSTEC" if RUSTEC win the match against STATE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the match (logical contradiction making the market unresolvable), while Polymarket resolves to the actual match winner (STATE or RUSTEC) with clear binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a logical flaw that makes them unresolvable. Polymarket markets are tradeable and follow standard esports settlement rules based on HLTV.org results.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If RUSTEC wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If STATE wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If RUSTEC wins the CCT Europe Series #20 2026: RUSTEC vs. STATE CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes. If STATE wins the CCT Europe Series #20 2026: RUSTEC vs. STATE CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard esports settlement: Polymarket resolves to the actual match winner (STATE or RUSTEC) with clear binary outcomes, 50-50 for cancellations/delays beyond 7 days, and uses HLTV.org as the primary source. Quote: 'This market will resolve to STATE if STATE win the match against RUSTEC. This market will resolve to RUSTEC if RUSTEC win the match against STATE.'
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