TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between STATE and Bebop in the CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "STATE" if STATE win the match against Bebop. This market will resolve to "Bebop" if Bebop win the match against STATE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the overall match outcome (either team winning the CCT Europe Series #20 match), while Polymarket resolves on specific map-level outcomes and match statistics. Kalshi's market is logically incoherent: both 'Bebop wins' and 'STATE wins' resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market — it contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Bebop wins OR STATE wins) resolve to Yes, violating basic binary market principles. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and map-specific. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to PredictionHero support immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's market structure is logically broken. Both resolution conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes': 'If Bebop wins...then Yes' AND 'If STATE wins...then Yes'. This means every possible outcome (Bebop victory or STATE victory) resolves to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. This violates binary market logic and makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 8 distinct resolvable markets covering specific match outcomes: Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Map 3 Winner, Map 1/2/3 Odd/Even Kills, Map 1/2/3 Odd/Even Rounds, Map Handicaps (both directions), Overall Match Winner (BO3), and Games Total Over/Under 2.5. Each market has clear binary or ternary outcomes with defined resolution sources (HLTV.org primary, credible reporting secondary) and comprehensive edge-case handling (cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, forfeit, walkover, series clinch scenarios).
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