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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Counter-Strike: regain vs FlyQuest RED (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi

Counter-Strike: regain vs FlyQuest RED (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Volume:
$39,220

regain

 - Kalshi

regain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

regain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,783
N/A
N/A
$15,952
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FlyQuest RED

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,451
N/A
N/A
$4,318
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: REGAIN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between regain and FlyQuest RED in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 2 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "regain" if regain win the match against FlyQuest RED. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest RED" if FlyQuest RED win the match against regain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines a complete match resolution framework with detailed rules for forfeits, walkovers, delays, and incomplete matches across multiple markets (series winner, map winners, map statistics). Kalshi provides only a binary YES/NO resolution tied to match outcome without any specification of how forfeits, walkovers, delays, or incomplete matches are handled, creating a fundamental logical contradiction: Polymarket's markets could resolve 50-50 in scenarios where Kalshi's market would resolve YES or NO based on undefined criteria.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms without explicit clarification from Kalshi on how forfeits, walkovers, delays beyond 7 days, and incomplete matches resolve. If regain or FlyQuest RED wins via forfeit/walkover before the match starts, Polymarket resolves 50-50 but Kalshi's outcome is undefined. If the match is delayed beyond April 9 without a winner, Polymarket resolves 50-50 but Kalshi provides no guidance. This creates unhedgeable risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket provides exhaustive resolution rules across 8 distinct markets (series handicap, series winner, map 1/2/3 winners, map 1/2/3 kill/round parity) with explicit 50-50 resolution for forfeits, walkovers, delays beyond 7 days, incomplete matches, and clinched series. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides only a binary YES/NO framework with no specification of how forfeits, walkovers, delays, incomplete matches, or tie scenarios are resolved. The market states 'If regain wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If FlyQuest RED wins...then the market resolves to Yes' but contains no contingency rules for non-completion, forfeiture, or delay scenarios. This creates a logical gap where multiple outcomes map to undefined resolution states.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.